UK case surge has started, R is 3 to 5
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10316627/Covid-cases-hit-463-000-Christmas-Eve-3-population-isolation.html?ito=email_share_article-top
Guy’s and St Thomas’s Hospital trust
10% off with Covid
Chris Whitty
Omicron wave, going to peak very quickly
Infections doubling every 2 to 3 days
NHS, reduction in supply and increase in demand
more records would be broken
Omicron as well as delta?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-59664383
Number of omicron infections is rising very fast
Delta cases are flat
and that Delta is not going away, but being built on
If doubling time is every 3 days
Christmas Eve, cases + 462,704
Next few days, 2 million testing positive
Forced into 10 days isolation
Their contacts may also be symptomatic
Testing capacity exceeded
(Country currently averaging 790,000 PCR tests a day)
Professor Andrew Hayward (SAGE)
Outbreak spreading faster than tests can keep up
If you think about getting a year’s worth of rain over a month, then you’re going to get flooding and potentially severe flooding, no matter how much you’ve shored up your defences
Professor David Spiegelhalter (statistician)
Reduced socialisation will slow spread down
If it kept on this doubling every two days, you get to 11 million on Christmas Day,
and the entire country on New Year’s Eve
Now, this is not sensible
Millions of people are going to catch this over the next few weeks and months
That we know that’s going to happen
It could be considerably better than last winter, it could be worse
Zoe study
https://covid.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time
Official UK data
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases
https://www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/news/2021/modelling-potential-impact-omicron-england
Actual in hospital data
London in hospital data
Majority of cases in London are Omicron
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare?areaType=nhsRegion&areaName=London
South Africa now
Cases are rising steeply in all provinces
Cases in the 4th wave are higher than the peaks in all previous waves
Hospitalisations and deaths are not currently following this trend and,
are still relatively low
Most admissions to hospitals are still for unvaccinated people
Pfizer Boosters have been approved and can be given 6 months after full vaccination
The first people will be eligible at the end of December
THE INITIAL AND DAILY COVID-19 EFFECTIVE REPRODUCTIVE NUMBER IN SOUTH AFRICA
Black dog
I’m living in South Africa.
The masses of our population live in townships and are unvaccinated.
There are no masks or any social distancing ever since the “pandemic” started.
The Elephant 🐘 is in the room and is being ignored.
We’re only 25-30% fully vaccinated.
16 seater minibus 🚐 taxis commute the masses of the people daily, no masks or social distancing.
Hospitalizations and deaths are way lower than a year ago.
Natural Immunity needs to come back to the discussion and needs to stop being downplayed or disregarded by the MSM.
World Health Organization
Omicron is spreading across the globe at an unprecedented rate
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-59656385
Dr Tedros
Surely, we have learned by now that we underestimate this virus at our peril.
Even if Omicron does cause less severe disease, the sheer number of cases could once again overwhelm unprepared health systems
UK government response to vitamin D deficiency
https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/people-at-higher-risk/free-vitamin-d-supplements-for-people-at-high-risk/
