COVID-19

Natural immunity, answers



If you would like John’s text books, (it is free to download the PDFs)

Link to free download of my 2 textbooks

http://159.69.48.3/

Physiology book in hard copy

https://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/154770452796?mkevt=1&mkcid=16&mkrid=710-127635-2958-0

Do you also have significant protection even after previous asymptomatic infection?

Stefan’s original paper

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35149106/

Original video

Question 1: Do you also have a significant protection against reinfections when your first SARS-CoV-2 infection was asymptomatic?

Answer: Yes

https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article-abstract/doi/10.1093/cid/ciac034/6509535?redirectedFrom=PDF

Accepted article, Clinical Infectious Diseases

Reinfection with delta data

Previous infection reduced hospitalizations by 85%

Effectiveness against symptomatic reinfection

Protection from symptomatic versus asymptomatic infection

Symptomatic previous infection, 92.9% protection

Asymptomatic previous infection, 85.9% protection

both symptomatic and asymptomatic infection appear to provide strong protection against future severe disease.

These data are extremely important as so many infections are asymptomatic

Question 2: Are the data on natural immunity also valid for the Omicron variant?

Answer: Yes, (Letter to NEJM)
Protection against the Omicron Variant from Previous SARS-CoV-2 Infection

Qatar

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2200133

In addition, we performed
sensitivity analyses that included adjustment for vaccination status and that excluded vaccinated persons from the analysis.

Protection against reinfections is moderately lower for the Omicron variant

The effectiveness of previous infection in preventing reinfection was estimated to be

90.2% against the alpha variant

85.7% against the beta variant,

92.0% against the delta variant, and

56.0%magainst the omicron variant

Protection against severe, critical or fatal COVID-19 is similar as for other variants

The effectiveness with respect to
severe, critical, or fatal Covid-19

69.4% against the alpha variant,

88.0% against the beta variant

95% to 100% against the delta variant

87.8% against the omicron variant

The median interval between previous infection and PCR testing

254 days to 376 days

Question 3: Is Omicron really not so mild?

NEJM, Challenges in Inferring Intrinsic Severity of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2119682

South Africa

Answer: According to data from individuals who remained unvaccinated and did not have a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection,

the severity in terms of causing hospitalization was about 75% of the Delta variant.

Viruses don’t inevitably evolve toward being less virulent;

evolution simply selects those that excel at multiplying.

In the case of Covid-19, in which the vast majority of transmission occurs before disease becomes severe,

reduced severity may not be directly selected for at all.

Indeed, previous SARS-CoV-2 variants with enhanced transmissibility (e.g., alpha and delta)

appear to have greater intrinsic severity than their immediate ancestors or the previously dominant variant.