10 % of global population exposed
Dr. Michael Ryan,
best estimates
760 million
5.32 billion
JH, 35, 511, 291 (4.6%)
JH deaths = 1,044,633
IFR = 0.13
We are now heading into a difficult period
The disease continues to spread
Asia faced a surge in cases
Europe and the eastern Mediterranean, increase in deaths
Africa and the Western Pacific were rather more positive
List of experts
International mission to China
Origin of coronavirus
Consideration by Chinese authorities
US
Current cases
Hospital data
Current cases
2,569,578
CDC, How COVID-19 Spreads (CDC, 5th October)
Mainly through close contact
Asymptomatic people can spread
? virus spread and severity of disease
More efficiently than influenza
Not as efficiently as measles
Respiratory droplets
Small droplets can also form dryer particles
Small droplets and particles, in the air for minutes to hours
Further than 6 feet
Airborne transmission
Tuberculosis, measles, chicken pox
Enclosed spaces, inadequate ventilation
Singing or exercising.
In the same space during or shortly after the person with COVID-19 had left
Spread from touching surfaces, not common way that COVID-19 spreads
Cats and dogs, animals to people, low risk
Timeline
Thursday 1st October, Diagnosis
Friday 2nd October, Announced positive status
Became symptomatic (Day 1)
Friday evening, Walter Reed Medical Centre
Monday 5th October, back home
CDC guidelines, 11th October
UK
15,841 cases lost by PHE
Automatically thrown off the database
Each positive case throws up 3 close contacts
48,000 contacts of positive cases may not have been traced
New cases not tracked since 24th September
Cases have tripled in the last 2 weeks
Steep rise in University cities
Manchester, 247 up to 529 cases per 100,000 people in past week
Knowsley, Liverpool, Newcastle upon Tyne, Nottingham, Leeds, Sheffield
National Institute for Health Protection
Cases, + 12, 594 = 515,571
Cases, + 21,192
Current symptomatic infections, 272, 439
ONS
18 to 24 September, Cases
England, 116,600 people infected
1 in 500 people
Wales, 6,400
1 in 500 people
Northern Ireland, 1 in 400
Deaths
England and Wales, 9,634
215, (2.2%)
