Looks like 10% in US now exposed
6,934,233 (21%)
Deaths, 201,190
Serological surveys
Population, 330 million
Infections, 33 million
Dr. Robert Redfield to Senate Committee on Health
The preliminary results in the first round show that a majority of our nation, more than 90% of the population, remains susceptible
Expects there to be about 700 million doses of vaccines available by April
I think that’s going to take us April, May, June, possibly July
to get the entire American public completely vaccinated
Companies have begun manufacturing vaccines
Dr. Fauci, expects 50 million doses to be available in November
100 million by the end of December
Cases rising
North Dakota, Utah, Texas, South Dakota (per capita)
UK
Exposure notification system app
Points towards testing for asymptomatic
Self-isolation
Does not collect data
Glasgow university
Contact outside household bubbles
124 tested positive
600 now self-isolating in university accommodation
Students going home for the weekend?
ONS, 4 – 10 September
59,800 people community infections
1 in 900 people
6,000 new cases per day
Clear evidence of an increase in the number of people testing positive for COVID-19 aged 2 to 34 years
Higher infection rates in the North West and London
Wales
1,500 people infected
1 in 2,000 people
ONS, Deaths, 4 – 10 September
Week 37, 99 mentioned “novel coronavirus (COVID-19)”
1.0% of all deaths in England and Wales
Death certificate data: COVID-19 as the underlying cause of death (CEBM 16th September)
COVID-19 is the underlying cause of death (Died FROM)
COVID-19 may be present on the death certificate as a significant condition contributing to death but not the underlying cause (Died WITH)
Using, Public health England data
Up to 1st June
Early weeks
COVID -19 was the underlying cause of death in 92.2% of deaths (Died FROM)
i.e. 7.8% did not have the disease as the underlying cause of death (Died WITH)
Last 8 weeks
Up to 28th August, underlying cause in 71.2% of deaths (Died FROM)
i.e. 28.8% of deaths not directly caused by COVID-19 (Died WITH)
Scotland
Early weeks, up to 1st June
COVID-19 was the underlying cause in 94.6% of death (Died FROM)
i.e. 5.4 % did not have the disease as the underlying cause of death (Died WITH)
31st May to 10th August
76.3% from, main cause of death (Died FROM)
i.e. 23.7% did not have the disease as the underlying cause of death (Died WITH)
Worms and COVID in Africa
Inflammation in severe clinical cases of COVID-19
Worms reduce inflammation and the immune response
Multiple sclerosis, inflammatory bowel disease, allergic and autoimmune diseases
Immunomodulators in Parasitic Infestation
Infections last for years
Host often does not become very sick
Parasite counts can remain stable
Therefore, parasitic incidence could be responsible for the low number of symptomatic cases and deaths in Africa
Parasites and their protection against COVID-19- Ecology or Immunology?
Methods:
COVID-19 cases in comparison to data on helminths and malaria
Results:
Africa COVID
0.029 out of 3.3 million (0.88%) cases
1,064 out of 238,628 (0.45%) deaths.
Africa Parasites
213 out of 229 million (93%) of all malaria cases globally
204 out of 229 million (89%) of schistosomiasis cases
271 out of 1068 million (25%) of soil-transmitted helminth cases
Europe COVID
1.5 out of 3.3 million (45%) of global cases
142,667 out of 238,628 (59%) deaths
Europe Parasites
Malaria no cases
Schistosomiasis no cases
5.8 out of 1068 million (0.55%) soil-transmitted helminths cases
Inverse correlation between the incidence of COVID-19 and malaria
Inverse correlation between the incidence COVID-19 and soil-transmitted helminths
Countries with endemic malaria, soil-transmitted helminths and schistosomiasis had less COVID-19
Populations who migrate from endemic parasitic infestation lose their parasites
Studies to elucidate the relationship between parasitic infections and susceptibility to COVID-19 at an individual level are warranted
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