Dr. Christopher J.L. Murray discusses our COVID-19 model’s first global forecast, and anticipated deaths by January 1, 2020. This video is from a press briefing on September 3, 2020.
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TRANSCRIPT: So at the highest level, we see that there will be in our most likely scenario, our forecast, almost 1.9 million deaths between now and January 1st. So it’s essentially twice as many deaths to come in rest of the year as we’ve soon so far. And if there is scale-up of mask use as a simple and effective strategy, that number can be reduced by nearly 770,000 deaths. So a huge number of lives can be saved from mask use. If one pursues a laissez-fair or sometimes called heard immunity strategy, you get the red bar and that would be nearly 4 million deaths at the global level.
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